General Election 2017 – Aelm sentiment analysis accurate as ever
As a company, Aelm is somewhat pleased with the result of yesterday’s UK General Election.
Just to clarify, our buoyancy is nothing to do with any gains, losses or new colours on the political map. Our contentedness lies in the fact that, for the third time in as many elections, we predicted an election result with a high level of accuracy – long before the polling stations opened.
Where the nation’s premier psephologists deployed labyrinthine forecasting tables and techniques, Aelm ran a series of sentiment analyses on Twitter to trend and gauge the nation’s political pulse ahead of Vote 2017.
As we saw in our correct predictions in the Brexit referendum and the Trump/ Clinton election, a correctly compiled, cleaned and weighted analysis of Twitter absolutely reflects public sentiment. Our approach can be used for accurate forecasting whenever public opinion is in the spotlight.
As of Friday 9th June, 2017, Aelm’s projections in three consecutive elections have come to pass with barely a margin of error.
Methodology
0. From May 31st to June 8th, a total of 1,726,276 baseline Tweets were collected between 0100 and 1900 each day. That number was balanced and refined to subtract erroneous and general messages. A final total of 833,915 Tweets was used in the analysis.
1. Tweets were collected through Twitter’s streaming API, using a Python script, and converting data into CSV files.
2. At the end of each day, a different Python script was run to assign weight and value to those Tweets in a three stage process:
a. Extracting hashtags, @ tags and nouns.
b. Evaluating positive or negative sentiment
c. Batching Tweets into rightful political buckets
Resulting data was sorted and compiled in a new CSV file.
3. Next, BI tools Tableau and QlikView were used to read the converted data and offer the following analysis:
a. Party Leaders’ Reach (how many users ‘see’ conversations and discussions about party leaders).
b. Impact (party leaders’ follow numbers and the likelihood of messages appearing in Twitter users’ feeds).
c. Hashtags (the hashtag count for each party leader combined with a metric relating to contemporaneous discussion topics).
d. Sentiment (the number of Tweets categorised as positive or negative and the weight of sentiment in discussion topics).
e. Win Chance (a weighted average calculation was compiled via three parameters: Tweet count, follower count and polarity score – positive or negative).
Twitter Alone
And our projection came to pass.
It should be said that our conclusions were similar to those calculated by chief BBC psephologist, Professor John Curtice. The difference is that Aelm’s forecast was made much earlier – and it was compiled with only a deep excavation of Twitter sentiment.
If anyone would like further information on our methodology, or to discuss the deployment of sentiment analysis in other areas of business, then we welcome any and all enquiries.
sildenafil 100
sildenafil 100
sildenafil 20 mg
sildenafil 20 mg
viagra tablet
viagra tablet
buy viagra online
buy viagra online
generic viagra available
generic viagra available
cheap viagra
cheap viagra
viagra coupons
viagra coupons
generic viagra 100mg
generic viagra 100mg
viagra generic
viagra generic
viagra prices
viagra prices
viagra online
viagra online
viagra 100mg
viagra 100mg
viagra pills
viagra pills
cialis canada
cialis canada
cialis coupons
cialis coupons
cheap cialis
cheap cialis
cialis pills
cialis pills
cialis 5 mg
cialis 5 mg
cialis 20 mg
cialis 20 mg
tadalafil 20 mg
tadalafil 20 mg
cialis vs viagra
cialis vs viagra
canadian cialis http://linkbonnencsin.strikingly.com/
You revealed it wonderfully.
northwest pharmacy canada http://holmintfeaftio.strikingly.com/
Fantastic info. Many thanks!
viagra natural
viagra natural
viagra without doctor prescription
viagra without doctor prescription
viagra connect
viagra connect
generic viagra
generic viagra
viagra vs cialis
viagra vs cialis
cialis tablets
cialis tablets
cialis prices
cialis prices
cialis dosage
cialis dosage
tadalafil
tadalafil
sildenafil
sildenafil
viagra tablets
viagra tablets
tadalafil 20mg
tadalafil 20mg
tadalafil 5mg
tadalafil 5mg
cialis online
cialis online
generic cialis
generic cialis
levitra
levitra
cialis 20mg
cialis 20mg
cialis coupon
cialis coupon
cialis generic
cialis generic
sildenafil 100mg
sildenafil 100mg
viagra
viagra
cialis
cialis
buy viagra
buy viagra
sildenafil 100mg coupon
sildenafil 100mg coupon
sildenafil citrate
sildenafil citrate
tadalafil generic
tadalafil generic
buy cialis
buy cialis
purchasing cialis on the internet http://cialisonli.com/
You reported that terrifically.
tadalafil 5mg http://cialisonla.com/
Thanks a lot. I appreciate it.
cialis from canada http://cialisvi.com/
Kudos. I value this.
cialis from canada http://cialisiv.com/
You said it wonderfully!
discount cialis http://cialisky.com/
Thanks! A lot of forum posts.
write a paper for me http://gsgfsdgfdhjhjhj.com/
Incredible many of good facts!
cialis 20 mg http://cialisees.com/
Fine content. Thanks.
tadalafil 10 mg http://cialisonl.com/
Beneficial knowledge. Many thanks!
cialis generika http://cialisbuys.com/
Thanks a lot, Quite a lot of postings.
cheap cialis http://cialisvus.com/
Thanks! Valuable stuff!
Viagra 20 mg best price http://viagravonline.com/
Awesome facts. With thanks.
Generic cialis http://cialisvonline.com/
Nicely put. Thanks!
Cialis for daily use http://kawanboni.com/
Thanks a lot! Ample info.
Viagra generico http://rldta.com/
Very well spoken of course! .
Sialis http://cialisyoues.com/
Very good info. Cheers.
5 mg viagra coupon printable http://viagravipsale.com/
Cheers, I appreciate this.
Cialis 20mg http://cialisvipsale.com/
Awesome data, Thanks.
write essays for me http://dekrtyuijg.com/
You made your position quite clearly!!
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Informations here|There you can find 35234 additional Informations|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
The best movie porn site EVER !
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on|Read More|Find More Informations here|Here you can find 93717 additional Informations|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
The best movie porn !
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Read More Infos here|There you will find 21245 more Infos|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
I’m really impressed wit your writing skills as
well as with the layout on your blog. Is thhis a paid theme orr ddid you modify it
yourself? Either way keep up the nice quality writing, it iss raare to see a nice blog like this one today.
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Infos here|There you will find 70462 more Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Infos here|There you can find 4439 additional Infos|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Infos here|Here you can find 19950 additional Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Informations here|Here you will find 63251 additional Informations|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Infos here|There you will find 89092 more Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Read More Informations here|Here you can find 56760 more Informations|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Infos here|Here you will find 39643 more Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Infos here|Here you can find 34433 additional Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Read More Infos here|Here you will find 65522 more Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Infos here|Here you can find 8207 more Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Infos here|Here you will find 70307 additional Infos|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Read More Infos here|Here you will find 93305 additional Infos|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Infos here|Here you will find 98173 additional Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Read More Infos here|Here you can find 91110 additional Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you can find 83558 more Informations|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Informations here|There you can find 72389 additional Informations|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on|Read More|Read More Infos here|There you can find 95911 additional Infos|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Read More Infos here|There you can find 21764 more Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you will find 29668 more Informations|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Informations here|There you will find 55231 more Informations|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you can find 73681 more Informations|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you can find 69468 additional Informations|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you will find 28170 more Informations|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on|Read More|Read More Infos here|There you will find 6325 more Infos|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Infos here|There you will find 87864 more Infos|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Read More Infos here|There you will find 82683 additional Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Infos here|Here you can find 99753 additional Infos|Informations on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you can find 3122 more Informations|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Find More Informations here|Here you will find 64504 more Informations|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on|Read More|Find More Infos here|Here you will find 42332 additional Infos|Infos to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Informations here|There you will find 25633 more Informations|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More on|Find More|Read More Informations here|There you can find 89774 additional Informations|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Read More Informations here|Here you can find 18304 more Informations|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Find More here|Find More|Find More Infos here|Here you can find 98239 additional Infos|Infos on that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More on|Read More|Find More Infos here|There you will find 26020 more Infos|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
… [Trackback]
[…] Read More here|Read More|Find More Informations here|There you can find 44115 additional Informations|Informations to that Topic: aelm.com/blog/general-election-2017-aelm-sentiment-analysis-accurate-as-ever/ […]
Awesome work guys! Would be very interested to see more detail on the outputs, for example, some infographics comparing your productions and the real results, or your predictions VS the traditional polling companies.
I’d also be really interested to find out how you control for age, given that Twitter isn’t famed for its Silver Servers (but elections are!)